Tuesday, October 27, 2020

One Week to Go

 With any luck, seven days and some 18 hours or so after the posting of this message, we should know if Joe Biden is our next president or if we are destined for four more years of Donald Trump.

It looks like Biden is the favorite in any almost any scenario you can imagine. At this website, run by the fairly conservative magazine The Economist, Biden is given a 96% chance of winning the electoral vote. Nate Silver is slightly less optimistic about Biden's chances, giving him an 87% shot...and also gives the Democrats an 80% chance of taking the majority in the Senate and a 96% chance of holding the House.

And for those of you who recall 2016, I'll note that Biden's lead in the national polls is now more than twice what Clinton's was at the same time four years ago.

No comments: